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2024-12-14 06:28:28

I have been looking at traditional industries since November, but domestic institutions are really too weak, and hot money is still speculating. However, the next market trend should still be biased towards an operating rhythm of fundamentals+trends+changing hands. After all, the year is approaching and the fund ranking war is about to start again.There is nothing to say about the technical side. The 5-day support is acceptable, and there is no structure at the high position. Therefore, according to Lao Liu's expectation, the probability in the second half of this week is mainly a shock consolidation stage of Xiaoyin Xiaoyang, and there will be repeated sawing consolidation near 3400 points.Finally, to sum up, the nature of the main rise of the three waves in the market has not changed. After the short-term breakthrough on the upper rail of the triangle, if it continues to fluctuate and climb, the market will be simpler. Now an expectation has directly played an old drama with a high opening and a low walking, and the mood is under pressure. It is estimated that this is another small high point.


The most important thing is that the trend here is different from that on October 8, with 3 stocks falling down and 38 stocks falling by more than 5%. This data also does not support the main shipment. More is an active retracement adjustment after the big opening, at least before the upward trend of the market has not changed, don't worry too much.The heavy benefits released by the meeting were dismantled with you bit by bit yesterday. In fact, it is not that the benefits are not as good as expected, or the stimulus is not big enough. In fact, the main reason is that the medium and long term is definitely good, but the short-term index and stock price are all driven by funds.However, please note that the benefits of heavy meetings are not digested, but just accumulated as before. Then, when the policy is gradually implemented, it will still bring motivation and support to A-shares in the medium and long term. Simply put, the funds of these institutions will not be scattered!


Therefore, after the short-term shock consolidation, when it breaks through 3500 points again, it should have the foundation for acceleration. I would like to remind you that there is no basis for a sharp drop here. No matter the meeting expectation or the tone of maintaining stability, it is impossible for it to continue to get out of control and cause financial risks here.European and American stock markets adjusted slightly overnight, while China Stock Exchange fell 4.30%, A50 index fell 0.05%, and external sentiment was negative. Today, A-shares still have inertia back pressure, but there should be support near the 5-day line, so don't panic, just continue to switch between high and low.I have been looking at traditional industries since November, but domestic institutions are really too weak, and hot money is still speculating. However, the next market trend should still be biased towards an operating rhythm of fundamentals+trends+changing hands. After all, the year is approaching and the fund ranking war is about to start again.

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